William Peden

William Peden is a Postdoctoral Researcher at the Institute for Philosophy and Philosophy of Science, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria. He previously held positions at Lingnan University (Research Assistant Professor, 2022-2023), Erasmus University Rotterdam (Postdoctoral Researcher, 2020-2022), Polytechnic University of the Marche (Research Fellow, 2019-2020), and Durham University (PhD and Postdoc, 2013-2019). His research focuses on applying formal epistemology to statistical and probabilistic reasoning in economics and artificial intelligence.

• PhD in Philosophy (2013-2017), Durham University
• MPhil in History, Philosophy, and Sociology of Science, Technology, and Medicine (2011-2012), Cambridge University
• MA in Philosophy (2006-2010), Edinburgh University

His research explores statistical reasoning through frameworks like Henry E. Kyburg's Evidential Probability and Jon Williamson's Objective Bayesianism, addressing issues in decision theory, inductive logic, probability, and AI epistemology. He uses agent-based modeling to compare reasoning frameworks under ambiguity.

His recent publications investigate Bayesianism vs. Imprecise Probability, statistical testing economics, and philosophy of machine learning. He co-authored studies on publication market incentives, personalized medicine evidence, and Keynesian probability theory.

William contributes to debates about inductive skepticism, Bayesian updating, and philosophy of economic modeling. He collaborates with researchers across Italy, Netherlands, and the UK.