معرفی
Pavel K. Baev is a Research Professor at the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO), specializing in Russian military reform, conflict management in the Caucasus and Central Asia, energy politics in Russian foreign policy, and Russia's geopolitical relations with NATO, China, and the Global South. He leads the 2023-2026 project Russian Approaches to Peace Processes (RAPP) and contributes to the CENTREPEACE security cooperation cluster.
- Key Research Areas:
- Russia-Ukraine War trajectory and peace negotiations
- Russian military-strategic failures and domestic resilience
- Arctic and Baltic geopolitical tensions
- Multipolar world order challenges to Russian ambitions
Publications in 2025 emphasize the unsustainable nature of Putin's war strategy, Russian diplomatic isolation, and the limitations of Moscow's influence in the Middle East and Asia-Pacific. His work frequently appears in Eurasia Daily Monitor and Brookings Commentary.
- Notable Contributions:
- Analysis of Ukraine grain deal collapse
- Assessment of Wagner Group's impact on Russian security
- Evaluation of NATO deterrence strategies
Baev engages actively with global media, including The Financial Times, Newsweek, and Al Jazeera, providing expert commentary on Russian military campaigns, nuclear threats, and geopolitical shifts. He previously served as Editor of Security Dialogue (1995-2001) and leads PRIO's Foreign and Security Policies program.
