Rolf Scheufele

Rolf Scheufele is a Research Affiliate at the Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) since March 2012 and an Economist at the Swiss National Bank. He specializes in applied econometrics and macroeconomic modelling, with a focus on GDP forecasting, dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, and economic policy analysis.

• Institution: Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) – Member of the Leibniz Association
• Department: Macroeconomics
• Current Role: Economist at Swiss National Bank

His research explores the use of real-time data versus final data in GDP prediction, disaggregation techniques for macroeconomic forecasting, and the reliability of impulse response analysis in misspecified DSGE models. He has contributed significantly to understanding convergence processes in East Germany and evaluating the New Keynesian Phillips Curve for Germany.

Key trends in his publications include:

• Integration of mixed-frequency models and real-time data for accurate GDP forecasting
• Comparison of full information and limited information estimation techniques in macroeconomic modeling
• Analysis of price rigidity, economic shocks, and regional convergence in Germany

His work is conducted in collaboration with institutions like the Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), where he contributes to macroeconomic research and policy evaluation.