معرفی
Paola Vesco is a Post-Doctoral Researcher at Uppsala University's Department of Peace and Conflict Research, where she contributes to the ViEWS (Violent Conflict Early-Warning System) project. Her research examines the connections between climate variability, food production systems, and conflict risk, with a methodological focus on forecasting techniques for political violence.
Her academic background comprises:
- PhD in Science and Management of Climate Change from Ca’ Foscari University of Venice
- Master’s Degree in International Sciences and Diplomatic Relations from the University of Trieste
Dr. Vesco's primary research interests lie at the climate-conflict nexus, investigating how environmental stressors like droughts and crop failures interact with socio-economic factors to trigger violence. She specializes in developing predictive models for conflict escalation and fatality forecasting, particularly in climate-vulnerable regions such as the Sahel. Her work integrates climate science, agricultural economics, and political methodology to advance early warning capabilities.
Analysis of her publication record reveals a consistent focus on conflict forecasting innovation, including participation in international prediction competitions and development of regional models for the Sahel. Her research increasingly incorporates machine learning approaches and interdisciplinary datasets spanning climate variables, agricultural production, and conflict event records.
As a core member of the ViEWS project team, Dr. Vesco collaborates with researchers across institutions to operationalize conflict forecasting for policymakers. She also contributes to the Sahel Predictive Analytics project, which supports United Nations strategies through vulnerability hotspot identification.
