معرفی
Håkan Nilsson is a Senior Lecturer/Associate Professor at the Department of Psychology, Uppsala University, specializing in Perception and Cognition. His research focuses on cognitive psychology, decision making, and probability judgment with significant contributions to understanding human reasoning under uncertainty.
His primary research interests include:
- Cognitive biases in probability judgment, particularly the conjunction fallacy
- How people interpret odds in sports betting contexts
- Mathematical modeling of decision processes (configural weighted average model)
- The relationship between numerical ability and decision quality
- Development of debiasing techniques for probabilistic reasoning
Analysis of his recent publications reveals consistent focus on understanding probability judgment mechanisms. His work demonstrates that even numerically skilled individuals remain susceptible to decision paradoxes, suggesting deep-rooted cognitive processes. Notable research areas include how betting odds are converted to probability estimates and why combo bets appear more attractive despite lower probabilities.
His scientific contributions encompass:
- Development of the configural weighted average model for probability judgment
- Studies on the relationship between numerical ability and susceptibility to decision paradoxes
- Research on the cognitive substrate of subjective probability
- Exploration of how monetary incentives affect probability assessment
Nilsson has maintained extensive collaborations with Peter Juslin, Anders Winman, and Patric Andersson. His work appears in leading journals including Psychological Review, Journal of Experimental Psychology, and Cognition, demonstrating significant impact in cognitive and decision sciences.
