Alfonso Carfora

Alfonso Carfora is Assistant Professor in Economic Statistics at the Department of Economics and Law, University of Macerata, and concurrently serves as a Research Fellow (RtD-B, STAT-02/A). He teaches Probability and Inference, Economic Statistics, Big Data and Microdata, and Panel Data Analysis, and advises the Italian Ministry of Economy and Finance on expenditure evaluation and management processes.

Education

• Ph.D. in Applied Territorial Statistics, University of Naples Parthenope

Research interests

Carfora’s work centres on the quantitative evaluation of public policies, with particular attention to:

• Impact assessment of fiscal and energy policies on firms and households
• Measurement and modelling of tax evasion and the shadow economy
• Energy poverty dynamics and distributional effects of green transitions
• Applied econometrics and panel-data techniques

Methodologically, he employs advanced econometric models, counterfactual impact evaluation, and multidimensional indicators, collaborating with national and international research groups and publishing extensively in high-impact journals.

Publication trends

Between 2021 and 2025 his output has focused on three converging themes: (1) drivers and consequences of energy poverty in Europe, (2) energy-transition pathways for SMEs and their policy implications, and (3) fiscal-policy evaluation, particularly regarding tax evasion and VAT-gap estimation.

Scientific awards

• No specific awards listed in the provided material.

Advising & grants

• Consultant, General Accounting Office, Ministry of Economy and Finance (ongoing)
• Former Head of Regulatory Impact Study and Evaluation Office, Italian Revenue Agency (2013-2023)
• Collaborates with domestic and international research consortia; specific grant details not provided.

Laboratories & teams

While no formal laboratory is mentioned, Carfora collaborates closely with research networks in applied statistics and energy economics, frequently co-authoring with colleagues from Macerata, Naples Parthenope, and international partners.