Steven W. Popper

Steven W. Popper is a Professor of Policy Analysis at the RAND School of Public Policy and an Adjunct Senior Economist at the RAND Corporation. He also serves as Distinguished Professor of Decision Sciences at Tecnológico de Monterrey’s School of Government and Public Transformation, reflecting his international academic engagement. His work bridges economics, science and technology policy, and strategic decision-making under uncertainty.

Research Interests: Popper's expertise lies in decision-making under deep uncertainty (DMDU), robust decision making (RDM), assumption-based planning, and science, technology, and innovation policy. He has made seminal contributions to long-term policy analysis, particularly through his co-authorship of Shaping the Next One Hundred Years (2003). His research addresses complex systems in economic development, international relations, and environmental planning.

Publication Trends: His recent work applies RDM methodologies to diverse domains such as U.S.-China economic competition, Israeli defense and energy policy, transportation planning, and future technologies. His publications often involve scenario analysis, foresight, and adaptive strategies for policy resilience in uncertain futures.

• Scientific Awards and Leadership:
• Founding officer and current Finance Chair, Society for Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty
• Past Chair, Industrial Science and Technology Section, American Association for the Advancement of Science
• Consultant to the World Bank, OECD, and multiple national governments

Advising and Grants: While specific advisees are not listed, Popper has led numerous high-impact research projects funded by U.S. federal agencies and international bodies. His role as Associate Director of the Science and Technology Policy Institute (1996–2001) involved providing analytic support to the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy, indicating extensive grant-funded research leadership.

Labs and Teams: Popper is affiliated with RAND’s research teams focused on policy analysis, innovation, and strategic foresight. He collaborates with interdisciplinary teams applying modeling and simulation tools to public policy challenges, particularly through the Robust Decision Making framework.