معرفی
Dr. Samad Sarferaz is a Lecturer at the Department of Management, Technology, and Economics at ETH Zurich, where he serves as Head of the Research Division for Macroeconomic Forecasting and Data Science at the KOF Swiss Economic Institute. His work focuses on empirical macroeconomics, with a particular emphasis on time series econometrics and economic history. He teaches Methods of Macroeconomic Forecasting and contributes to the academic and research community through his extensive publication record.
Dr. Sarferaz's research interests span several key areas in macroeconomics. His primary focus is on Empirical Macroeconomics, where he applies rigorous statistical methods to understand economic fluctuations and policy impacts. He has made significant contributions to Bayesian Time Series Econometrics, developing methodologies for forecasting and uncertainty measurement. His work in Quantitative Economic History provides long-term perspectives on business cycles and financial crises. Additionally, he explores Macroeconomic Survey Experiments, investigating how firms and households process information and form expectations under uncertainty.
Analysis of Dr. Sarferaz's recent publications reveals a strong focus on measuring and understanding macroeconomic uncertainty. His work examines how uncertainty affects firm behavior, household decisions, and policy effectiveness across different institutional settings. A significant portion of his research investigates the transmission mechanisms of economic shocks, particularly exchange rate fluctuations and oil price changes. His methodological contributions include innovative approaches to data revision analysis, output gap estimation, and dynamic factor modeling for business cycle analysis.
Dr. Sarferaz leads the Macroeconomic Forecasting and Data Science research division at KOF, directing research projects and contributing to the institute's forecasting activities. His work combines theoretical insights with empirical evidence, often utilizing survey data from firms and households to test macroeconomic models. Through his position at ETH Zurich and KOF, he contributes to both academic research and practical economic analysis for policymakers.
