Paul Gustafson

Paul Gustafson is a Professor and Head of the Department of Statistics at the University of British Columbia's Faculty of Science. He holds a faculty position at the Vancouver Campus and can be contacted via gustaf@stat.ubc.ca. His research focuses on advanced statistical methodologies with applications in epidemiology, public health, and clinical research. Key interests include Bayesian analysis, causal inference, measurement error correction, and meta-analysis.

Dr. Gustafson's work emphasizes methodological innovations in handling complex data challenges such as exposure misclassification, missing data, and observational study biases. He collaborates on projects addressing opioid use disorder treatment efficacy, infectious disease epidemiology, and health policy. Current advisees include Nathaniel Wu Dyrkton, Daniel Daly Grafstein, Seren Lee, Yuan Xia, and Mallory J Flynn.

His research outputs span statistical theory, applied public health studies, and computational methods. Recent work highlights include Bayesian approaches to sample size determination, probabilistic bias analysis in diagnostic studies, and frameworks for evaluating treatment benefit predictors using observational data. Dr. Gustafson is also involved in global initiatives such as the Zika Virus Individual Participant Data Consortium.

Notable methodological contributions include developing techniques for partially identified models, correcting measurement errors in health surveys, and advancing causal inference methodologies. He has contributed to R packages like rtestim for epidemic modeling and CRTpowerdist for cluster randomized trial analysis.