Manfred Keil

Manfred Keil serves as Associate Professor in the Economics Department at Claremont McKenna College's Robert Day School of Economics and Finance, specializing in macroeconomic policy and empirical analysis.

His educational background includes a Zwischenpruefung from Goethe Universitaet Frankfurt, M.S. and Ph.D. degrees from the London School of Economics, and an M.A. from the University of Texas.

Professor Keil's research centers on comparative economic performance across nations and regions, with significant contributions to business cycle forecasting methodologies. His expertise spans central bank policymaking, data science applications in economics, and regional economic integration dynamics, consistently employing rigorous statistical frameworks to address complex macroeconomic questions.

His publication record demonstrates sustained scholarly impact since the late 1980s, with recent work advancing probabilistic approaches to economic expansion forecasting (2023) and historical investigations into political business cycles. Key thematic areas include inflation-growth nonlinearities, capital mobility constraints in developing economies, and comparative unemployment analysis across North America and Europe.

Teaching responsibilities encompass core courses in Macroeconomics, Econometrics, and Statistics, reflecting his methodological strengths. Office hours are maintained Tuesday 12:30-1:30pm, Thursday 10:00-11:00am, and Wednesday 6:30-7:30pm via Zoom from Bauer Center 315.