Malte Knüppel

Malte Knüppel is a Researcher at the Research Centre of the Deutsche Bundesbank. His primary research interests include forecasting methodologies, business cycle analysis, and monetary policy. He has been affiliated with the Bundesbank since 2003, contributing to a wide range of studies on economic forecasting uncertainty, macroeconomic risk assessment, and the empirical evaluation of forecast horizons.

His work often focuses on developing statistical tools to measure and communicate forecast uncertainty, particularly in central banking contexts. Key contributions include analyzing the predictive content of macroeconomic forecasts, testing calibration methods for multi-step density forecasts, and evaluating the reliability of central bank inflation outlooks.

Knüppel has presented his research at numerous international conferences, including the International Symposium on Forecasting and the European Central Bank workshops. His publications have appeared in leading journals such as the Journal of Applied Econometrics and the International Journal of Forecasting.

His recent work emphasizes the limitations of long-term forecasting horizons and the role of structural assumptions (e.g., interest rate paths) in forecast accuracy. He has also contributed to methodological advancements in path-forecasting techniques and simultaneous prediction regions.

While no formal awards or grants are explicitly mentioned, his ongoing research at the Bundesbank underscores his role as a leading expert in macroeconomic forecasting and uncertainty quantification.