معرفی
Jeremy Piger is a Professor of Economics in the Department of Economics within the College of Arts and Sciences at the University of Oregon. His research focuses on business cycles, inflation, forecasting, and Bayesian econometrics, with particular expertise in real-time recession probability modeling for the U.S. economy. He maintains regularly updated recession probability estimates that are publicly available through his university website and integrated into economic monitoring systems.
Dr. Piger holds a PhD in Economics from the University of Washington (2000), an MA in Economics from the University of Washington (1998), and a BA in Economics from Seattle Pacific University (1996). His educational background has provided the foundation for his specialized work in macroeconomic time-series analysis and econometric modeling.
His research interests center on applied macroeconomics with emphasis on business cycle analysis, recession probability estimation, and Bayesian econometric methods. Piger has developed sophisticated models that track U.S. economic conditions in real-time, providing valuable insights for policymakers, financial institutions, and academic researchers. His work bridges theoretical econometric approaches with practical applications for economic monitoring and forecasting.
Analysis of his recent publications reveals a consistent focus on recession probability modeling, with increasing integration of Bayesian methods and machine learning techniques to enhance forecasting accuracy. His research demonstrates particular attention to real-time data challenges, model specification issues, and the practical implementation of economic monitoring systems that can adapt to changing economic conditions.
As Editor-in-Chief of Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, Dr. Piger plays a significant role in advancing research at the intersection of economic theory, statistical methodology, and computational approaches. His leadership in this journal reflects his standing in the econometrics community and his commitment to rigorous methodological research.
Dr. Piger maintains active engagement with both academic and policy communities through his widely referenced recession probability models, which are updated monthly and have become a standard resource for economic analysts. His work provides critical insights during periods of economic uncertainty and has been particularly valuable during recent economic transitions including the post-pandemic recovery period.
