Roger Flage

Roger Flage is a Professor of Risk Management at the University of Stavanger, affiliated with the Faculty of Science and Technology and the Department of Security, Economics and Planning. His research focuses on foundational and applied aspects of risk analysis, uncertainty quantification, and decision-making under uncertainty, with applications in critical infrastructure, environmental systems, and offshore energy.

Roger Flage's research interests lie at the intersection of risk science, safety engineering, and decision theory. He investigates how uncertainty—especially epistemic uncertainty and assumptions—affects risk assessments, and advocates for more transparent and robust frameworks. His work spans theoretical advances, such as the treatment of 'black swan' events and the concept of 'real risk', as well as practical applications in offshore safety, power systems, and geohazards. He emphasizes the integration of data-driven methods, AI, and digital twins while critically assessing their limitations and associated security risks.

His recent publications show a strong trend toward integrating dynamic, data-rich, and interdisciplinary approaches to risk analysis. Themes include the role of time in risk, AI applications, infrastructure interdependencies, and environmental risk in the oil and gas sector. He frequently publishes in top-tier journals like Risk Analysis, Reliability Engineering & System Safety, and Safety Science, often in collaboration with leading scholars such as Terje Aven and Seth Guikema.

• No scientific awards are mentioned in the provided text.

Roger Flage has supervised or collaborated with several researchers, though no formal list of advisees is provided. His work is supported through academic collaborations and institutional affiliations rather than explicit grant mentions. He is actively involved in advancing risk science methodology, particularly in the treatment of assumptions and uncertainty, and contributes to both theoretical foundations and real-world applications in safety-critical domains.

He is associated with research groups and collaborative networks at the University of Stavanger, particularly within the Department of Security, Economics and Planning. His work often involves interdisciplinary teams focusing on risk in complex engineered systems, including energy, transportation, and environmental systems.