Carlos Cinelli

Carlos Cinelli is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Statistics at the University of Washington, where he conducts research at the intersection of causal inference, statistical methodology, machine learning, and artificial intelligence. He is also a data science fellow at the eScience Institute and affiliate faculty of the Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences, demonstrating his interdisciplinary approach to causal methodology.

Dr. Cinelli received his Ph.D. in Statistics from the University of California, Los Angeles, advised by Chad Hazlett and Judea Pearl, two prominent figures in causal inference. His research focuses on developing new causal and statistical methods for transparent and robust causal claims in empirical sciences, with particular attention to challenges faced by social and health scientists.

His work spans theoretical developments in causal identification, sensitivity analysis frameworks, and practical software implementations that enable researchers to assess the robustness of their causal conclusions. Cinelli's research program addresses fundamental questions about how unobserved confounding affects causal estimates and develops tools to quantify how sensitive findings are to potential violations of causal assumptions. His work on omitted variable bias frameworks has been particularly influential across multiple disciplines.

Through his publications, Cinelli has established himself as a leading researcher in causal inference methodology, with papers appearing in top journals across statistics, machine learning, epidemiology, and social sciences. His work demonstrates both theoretical rigor and practical relevance, often accompanied by open-source software implementations that make his methods accessible to applied researchers.

• Best paper award at SBE 2024 in Econometrics
• Royalty Research Fund (RRF) Award recipient
• NSF/MMS research support

As an advisor, Cinelli has successfully guided PhD students like Nick Irons to dissertation completion. He actively seeks new students with strong interests in causal inference. His research is supported by multiple funding sources including the National Science Foundation and the University of Washington's Royalty Research Fund. Cinelli contributes to the academic community through editorial work for the Journal of Causal Inference and by developing widely used software packages like sensemakr for sensitivity analysis.