António Rua

António Rua serves as a Senior Economist at the Banco de Portugal's Economics and Research Department since 1999 and concurrently holds a Visiting Associate Professor position at Nova School of Business and Economics (NOVA SBE), part of NOVA University Lisbon. He teaches Econometrics and Statistics within the School of Business and Economics, contributing to both academic instruction and central bank research.

His research centers on time-series econometrics, financial econometrics, and empirical macroeconomics/finance, with specialized expertise in business cycle analysis, wavelet methods, and Euro Area modeling. Key methodologies include Bayesian smoothing, structural decomposition, and circular statistics applications. His work bridges theoretical econometrics with practical policy analysis for the Eurozone.

Recent publications reveal interdisciplinary expansion into environmental economics (carbon emissions decomposition) and advanced statistical techniques for extremal dependence. The research demonstrates consistent methodological innovation with applications spanning financial risk assessment, business cycle synchronization, and export dynamics, maintaining strong connections to Portuguese and Euro Area economic policy.

Rua maintains an active research profile with 26 publications since 2005, including articles in Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, International Journal of Forecasting, and Journal of Money, Credit and Banking. His work at Banco de Portugal generates influential policy-relevant research with significant citation impact (h-index 20, 1,657 citations).